Tropical Storm Elsa is expected to drench parts of the Caribbean starting Saturday as South Florida braces for potential impacts next week.
Here’s what we know about the current location of the storm — which has been downgraded from a Category 1 hurricane — and where it could be heading next.
In an 11 a.m. update, forecasters said Elsa was roughly 350 miles east of Kingston, Jamaica, and 40 miles south of Isla Beata, an island off the shores of the Dominican Republic.
Elsa packed 70-mph maximum sustained winds as it moved toward the northwest at 29 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Starting late Saturday, the tropical storm is expected to bring heavy rain, storm surge and strong winds to the southern part of Hispaniola — an island that’s home to Haiti and the Dominican Republic.
Jamaica could start to see hurricane conditions Saturday before heavy rains start Sunday. That same day, wet weather is expected to reach eastern Cuba and the Cayman Islands, forecasters said.
“The forecast uncertainty remains larger than usual due to Elsa’s potential interactions with the islands of Hispaniola and Cuba this weekend,” the National Hurricane Center said.
Several models show the track will then head toward Florida, where impacts could be felt by Sunday night or early Monday.
“While there is a risk of wind, surge, and rain impacts across south Florida, it’s too early to determine specifics due to low forecast confidence,” the National Weather Service’s Miami office said as of Saturday morning.
The weather service has urged people in the region to review their storm plans.